Kansas Economic Outlook Conference Registration, Wichita October, 6, 2016

 

Kansas Population Forecast: Working Age Population

The working age population is forecast to shift throughout the state over the next 50 years.The working age population of the state, ages 18 to 64, is forecast to grow a more modest 10.3 percent, from 1,764,061 to 1,946,380. The over 65 population is projected to grow more rapidly in Kansas, while the under 18 population remains relatively constant over this period.

This growth in the working age population in Kansas is not projected to be evenly distributed. The metropolitan areas of the state are expected to grow considerably faster than the rest of the state over the next fifty years2.

Read the complete article.
 

YouTube, Kansas Population Forecast, Micropolitan Areas

Profile of Unemployment Insurance Beneficiaries in Wichita, 2nd Quarter 2016

Unemployment Insurance Wichita KansasThere was an average of 13,311 unemployed people in the Wichita metropolitan area in the first quarter of 2016, approximately 46 percent of whom collected unemployment insurance benefits.1 In the second quarter of 2016, there were approximately 6,120 people, age 16 and over, who collected unemployment insurance benefits. That is a decrease of approximately nine percent from the first quarter of 2016.

In the first quarter of 2016, four industries accounted for 56 percent of unemployment insurance beneficiaries in the Wichita area; manufacturing, construction, administrative and support and waste management and remediation services, and health care and social assistance. Of these industries, manufacturing and health care and social assistance have a proportionately low level of unemployment insurance beneficiaries, when compared to total employment. Construction and administrative and support services have a proportionately high level on unemployment insurance beneficiaries.

Read the full Wichita unemployment insurance beneficiaries report.
 

Employment-Population Ratio for Sedgwick County & Peers

Click to enlarge.Wichita and similar cities have seen large changes, mostly declines, in their employment-population ratio over the last decade. Many have been more strongly affected by the 2008 recession than the rest of the United States.

  • After the official end of the 2008 recession in June 2009, Sedgwick County’s employment-population ratio continued to decline for a longer period than any of the four peer counties. In 2014, Sedgwick County’s ratio began to increase consistently for the first time since the recession, whereas Kent and Greenville Counties began to recover in 2010, Lancaster County in 2011, and Summit County in 2013.

Read more.

2016 Q2 Industry Changes: Manufacturing, Construction, & Wholesale Trade

Manufacturing

 
After years of growth, manufacturing employment in Kansas has been slow to recover from the 2008 recession. Employment dropped to 167,057 from 187,151 in 2008, representing a 10.7 percent decline. Employment decreased another 4.4 percent in 2010. Since recovery started in 2011, employment has moderately fluctuated.

 


Construction

 
Kansas construction was slightly impacted by the recession in 2008, when industry employment declined only one percent. The following year, the recession had a larger impact on industry employment with a 10.9 percent drop from the 2008 level. The construction employment level continued to decrease until 2011, going from 65,211 in 2008 to 52,888 in 2011. Nonetheless, industry employment started to recover in 2012. Kansas Industry News & Developments - Construction Employment

 


Wholesale Trade

 
Wholesale trade employment in Kansas has moderately fluctuated in the last ten years. In fact, between 2005 and 2015, employment in the industry grew 1.2 percent going from 59,590 in 2005 to 60,283 in 2015. Similarly, durable and non-durable goods wholesale trade employment has experienced little variation in the last decade.

 

Read the full report.

Kansas Gap Analysis: Grocery Stores

Click to enlargeGrocery stores are an important part of the retail sector in many Kansas communities. CEDBR, as part of research in Kansas’ retail sector gaps, has analyzed sales in the grocery store retail sector throughout Kansas.

  • 17 Kansas counties had sales more than 50 percent higher than their peer counties, and 18 counties sales more than 50 percent lower than their peer counties.

Read the full article.

 

 

Misery Index Decreasing in U.S.

Misery Index in KansasBetween the first and second quarters of 2016, the general level of misery experienced by people in the United States decreased and remains well below the 2015 level. This can be attributed to continued decreases in the unemployment rate, low levels of inflation and increases in housing prices. The level of misery in Kansas also decreased between the first and second quarters and remains below the 2015 level.

Within each of the metropolitan areas in Kansas, the misery index remains lower than in the United States as a whole.

The Misery Index, as calculated by the Center for Economic Development and Business Research (CEDBR), includes the following components:

  • The Consumer Price Index (CPI) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • The House Price Index (HPI) from the Federal Housing Finance Agency
  • Unemployment Rates (UR) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Read the complete second quarter report.

Contact Us

Twitter, Kansas Economy- Center for Economic Development and Business Research in Wichita   LinkedIn, Kansas Economy, Center for Economic Development and Business Research in Wichita   Facebook, Kansas Economy, Center for Economic Development and Business Research in Wichita   YouTube Channel, Kansas Economy- Center for Economic Development and Business Research in Wichita

Center for Economic Development and Business Research
W. Frank Barton School of Business|
Wichita State University
1845 Fairmount (located in NIAR)
Wichita, KS 67260-0121
P: (316) 978-3225 | F: (316) 978-3950
E: cedbr@wichita.edu

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2016 Media Citations

More media resources
available at www.media.cedbr.org

City OKs new IRBs for Spirit AeroSystems
Wichita Business Journal
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Kansas Seeing More Startups, But Little Job Growth
KMUW
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Wichita State study: New Kansas businesses add few workers
Wichita Eagle
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Tax Abatements: A Boon For The City, Or Not Worth The Cost?
KMUW
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Rose Hill considers tax abatement amid dire budget situation
Derby Informer
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County's future depends on the outlook today
The Marysville Advocate
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National article questions depth of Wichita's aerospace job pool
KSN
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Population here predicted to drop
The Marysville Advocate
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In Kansas, managers' income gains nearly match farm, telecom worker losses
Wichita Eagle
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Brownback 'experiment' falling flat
Hutchinson News
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Kansas' litany of grim realities
The Garden City Telegram
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Kansas loses jobs in Februrary for first time since 2011, according to state survey
Wichita Eagle
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Mark Peterson: Kansas must change or even more will leave
Wichita Eagle
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Your wake-up call for the day, or maybe the year 
High Plains/Midwest Ag Journal
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As Bombardier cuts jobs, the rest of the Wichita aviation market could stabilize
KSN
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Yael T. Abouhalkah: Think Johnson County is crowded now? Wait until it hits 1 million people
Kansas City Star
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WSU study: Kansas population forecasted to transfer to metro areas
The Sunflower
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Graduate student's research helps WSU develop state population forecast
Wichita State News
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Code red for rural hospitals
Hillsboro Star-Journal
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School data shows drop in child homelessness
Topeka Capital-Journal
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County population to increase
The Morning Sun
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Report: Kansas Sees Give Percent Growth In Business
KMUW
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County expected to shrink over time
The Kansan
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Forecast: Elderly Population to Double, Outnumber Children
WIBW
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Kansans in 50 years will be mostly urban, mostly older
WIchita Business Journal
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(AP) Forecast: Elderly Population To Double, Outnumber Children
WOW! 6 News
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(AP) Forecast: Elderly Population To Double, Outnumber Children
KAKE
____________

(AP) Forecast: Elderly Population To Double, Outnumber Children
KMUW
____________

(AP) Forecast: Elderly Population To Double, Outnumber Children
KSNT
____________

(AP) Forecast: Elderly Population To Double, Outnumber Children
KWCH
____________

(AP) Forecast: Elderly Population To Double, Outnumber Children
Lawrence Journal-World
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(AP) Forecast: Elderly Population To Double, Outnumber Children
NTV
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(AP) Kansas elderly population to double
Parson Sun
____________

(AP) Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber children, forecast predicts
Shawnee Dispatch
____________

(AP) Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber children, forecast predicts
Tonganoxie Mirror
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(AP) Study: Kansas Elderly Population To Double, Outnumber Children
News on 6
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Argus Press
____________

(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Bristol Herald
____________

(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Brownsville Herald
____________

(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Clay Center Dispatch
____________

(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Daily Journal
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Emporia Gazette
____________

(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Greenfield Reporter
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Hastings Tribune
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Hutchinson News
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Lebanon Daily Record
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Odessa American
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
The Eagle (Bryan-College Station, TX)
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
The Monitor
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
The Republic (Columbus, Indiana)
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(AP) Study: Kansas elderly population to double, outnumber kids
Valley Morning Star
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(AP) WSU Forecast: Elderly population to double, outnumber children
KSN
____________

Guess where nearly a third of Kansans will live in 2064
Kansas City Business Journal
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Kansas' aging population expected to double
KSN
____________

Kansas population forecast released by Wichita State
Wichita State News
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Kansas population forecast shows aging population
KWCH
____________

Kansas population forecast to hit 3.5 million by 2064, Wichita State study says
Topeka Capital-Journal
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Slow population growth projected in Kansas over next 50 years, study finds
Wichita Eagle
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State population predicted to rise over 50 years
Garden City Telegram
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Study shows continuing population declines
Hays Daily
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Study: In 50 years Kansas population will be much older, more urban (+video)
Wichita Eagle
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Study: Kansas population expected to increase
KWCH
____________

Surprising numbers in latest Kansas population forecast (VIDEO)
Hays Post
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Surprising numbers in latest Kansas population forecast (VIDEO)
Salina Post
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Play together or pay dearly
Peabody Gazette-Bulletin
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As percentage of homeowners falls, Wichita looks to more mobile future (+video)
Wichita Eagle