Indicators

Mar10 Demo ImageCurrent
Economic variables occur at approximately the same time as the conditions they signify.

 

Mar10 Demo Image Leading
Economic variables that are considered to predict future economic activity.

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Center for Economic Development and Business Research
W. Frank Barton School of Business

1845 Fairmount, Devlin Hall
Wichita, KS 67260-0121
Phone: (316) 978-3225 
Fax: (316) 978-3950
e-mail: cedbr@wichita.edu

2012 Kansas Economic Outlook Revision

The Kansas unemployment rate was 6 percent in November 2011. This continues the general decline in unemployment rates since mid-2009, after fluctuating a bit throughout 2011. Kansas employment is expected to remain flat in 2011 when compared to 2010. Gains in the production and service sectors are expected to offset losses incurred in trade, transportation and utilities, as well as the government sectors.

The Kansas economy is expected to stabilize and begin growing at a modest pace. The Center for Economic Development and Business Research estimates total employment growth of 1 percent, for a net increase of 13,010 employees, in 2012.

To read the complete 2012 revised forecast for Kansas, click here.

2012 Wichita Economic Outlook Revision

The Center for Economic Development and Business Research is forecasting a 0.6 percent increase in employment for 2012, for a total gain of 1,735 jobs. The 2012 forecast has been revised downward due to slower than expected national growth and continued unknowns in the local and global economy, including the closure of Boeing Wichita and the continued weakness in the Euro zone. Wichita’s forecast for 2012 indicates a year of continued stabilization.

To read the complete 2012 revised forecast for Wichita, click here.

CEDBR Releases a Metro Area Comparison

citycompareThe Center for Economic Development and Business Research has released a slide presentation comparing the demographic and economic characteristics of the Wichita MSA to those of four other metropolitan areas. Those four metros were chosen because their demographics and industry mix are similar to Wichita.

 

View this presentation.

Wichita Residents Are More Miserable than Other Kansas Residents

misery young manThe Misery Index indicates that people in the United States, as a whole, continue to be more miserable than people in Wichita or Kansas. Wichita residents have continued to be more miserable than Kansas residents in general, but the gap has narrowed from a year ago. This can be attributed to larger declines in the unemployment rate in Wichita compared to the state.

 

The Misery Index calculated by the Center for Economic Development and Business Research (CEDBR) includes the following information:

  • The Consumer Price Index (CPI) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • House Price Index (HPI) from the Federal Housing Finance Agency
  • Unemployment Rates (UR) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

Read the full third quarter report.

Reduced Home Sales Continue to Impact WSU Index

 

homesales downThe WSU Current Conditions Index dropped 0.7 percent from September to October. Although employment increased slightly, 0.4 percent, and the unemployment rate dropped 0.8 percentage points, these improvements were not enough to counter the negative impact of a 21.7 percent decline in the number of home sales in the Wichita area for that time period. 

 

When comparing the 12 months ending in October to the previous 12 months, the decline in home sales appears less bleak, with only a 7.6 percent decrease. During that same time period, the overall Index value declined only 0.2 percent, reflecting some stability among the Index indicators.  

 

Read more.

Local Index Benefits From Improving U.S. Indicators

brick&mortarSix of the nine WSU Leading Index indicators showed improvement from September to October; yet, the overall Index value increased only 0.2 percent from month to month. The indicators showing the largest percentage increase were the value of residential and nonresidential building permits, 15.1 and 26 percent, respectively.

 

Year-to-year average data for the 12 months ending in October represented an 8.9 percent increase in the overall Index. A 7.3 Index point gain in The Conference Board’s national Leading Economic Indicators Index contributed to that year-to-year boost to the WSU Index. 

 

Read more.

Current Indicators